Alt Left: New Casualty Figures for Russia-Ukraine War


Russian forces

Russia*                   12,538 killed, ~50,000? wounded

Donetsk Peoples Republic   4,163 killed,  17,329 wounded

Luhansk Peoples Republic   1,000+ killed 

Russian military           5,937 killed (outdated) 

Wagner PMC                   450 killed 

Subtotal                  17,701 killed, ~73,000 wounded      

Total                     90,030 total casualties 

Ukrainian forces

Ukrainian military*       122,000 killed, 35,000 missing 
Total                     157,000

Zaluzhny* figure          232,000 killed

Stratfor Friedman* figure 305,000 killed

Average of last two       268,000 killed, 750,000  wounded

*Russia figures include Wagner PMC, Russian military, FSB secret police, Russian National Guard.

Russia, Wagner PMC, and Ukrainian military totals derived from counting death notices, so those figures are very accurate.

Zaluzhny is the Defense Minister of Ukraine.  Friedman runs Stratfor, widely considered to be a CIA cutout.

These figures are excellent. As you can see, the best ones are derived from death notices in the media. However, even these do not account for all Ukrainian casualties.

And just recently, to everyone’s shock, two new figures were announced. Zaluzhny, the Defense Minister of Ukraine, announced that 232,000 Ukrainian soldiers had been killed. And George Friedman, head of Stratfor, widely considered to be a CIA cutout, reported that 305,000 Ukrainian soldiers had been killed. Both figures are from excellent sources. The average of the two is 268,000 killed.

The Ukrainian-Russian casualty rate is 15:1 in favor of Russia. That is, for every Russian soldier who is killed, 15 Ukrainian soldiers are killed. The Ukrainian figures total possibly 1 million casualties, and that is rough estimate. On the other hand, Russian forces have taken 80,000 casualties. The total casualties run 12.5:1 in Russia’s favor, so for every Russian casualty, there are between 12 and 13 Ukrainian casualties.

The Ukrainian military, frankly, is being completely destroyed and there is not a whole lot left of it. There is a mobilization going on all over the country as they try to grab more and more soldiers for what amounts to cannon fodder. There will be no “Spring Offensive” for the Ukrainian Army.

They aren’t going to take back much if any of their land, and they surely are not going to push the Russians back a ways. They are definitely not going to capture Melitopol and threaten Crimea. The new tanks coming – the Leopards, the Challengers, and the Abrams, are not going to do much of anything. They sure aren’t going to push Russia back or win the war.

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